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Evaluating the Impact of AI on the Labor Market: Current State of Affairs

Gimbel, Kinder, Kendall, Lee

2025
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Primary Datasets

CPS

Labor outcomes

Anthropic Economic Index

AI-focused

CPS; Anthropic AI usage data; OpenAI exposure scores

Key Methods
Occupational mix change analysis; AI exposure bucket tracking; task-level AI usage analysis
Sample Period
2020-2025
Geographic Coverage
US
Notes
The Budget Lab at Yale. Finds little evidence of measurable AI impact on US workforce composition. Series with monthly CPS updates.